2022 TX Governor Race

2022 TX Governor Race

Summary

The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is running for re-election to a third term. Gubernatorial primaries were held on March 1, 2022. Abbott won the Republican primary, while former U.S. Representative Beto O’Rourke won the Democratic primary.

Texas does not have gubernatorial term limits. All statewide elected offices are currently held by Republicans. In his most recent gubernatorial race in 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 TX Governor Race

Greg Abbott

Source: For more information

Greg Abbott

Current Position: Governor since 2018
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Position(s): Ken Paxton Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of Texas from 1996 – 2001

Featured Quote: 
We are fighting for the public safety of Texans who live on the border. We are providing law enforcement plus National Guard. We are beginning to build a wall. We are working to prevent entry by illegal migrants with Covid.

Beto O’Rourke

Source: For more information

Beto O'Rourke

Current Position: Business owner
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 Governor

Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke (born September 26, 1972) is an American politician who served as the U.S. representative for Texas’s 16th congressional district from 2013 to 2019. A member of the Democratic Party, O’Rourke was a candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018[1] and for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020, and is the Democratic nominee for the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election.

O’Rourke was born into a local political family in El Paso, Texas, and is a graduate of Woodberry Forest School and Columbia University. While studying at Columbia, he began a brief music career as bass guitarist in the post-hardcore band Foss. After his college graduation, he returned to El Paso and began a business career. In 2005, he was elected to the El Paso City Council, serving until 2011; he served as mayor pro tempore during his first year in office. O’Rourke was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2012 after defeating eight-term incumbent Democrat Silvestre Reyes in the primary.

After being re-elected to the House in 2014 and 2016, O’Rourke declined to seek another term in 2018. Instead, he sought the U.S. Senate seat held by Republican Ted Cruz, running a competitive campaign that drew national attention. Despite losing the election to Cruz by a margin of 2.6%, O’Rourke set a record for most votes ever cast for a Democrat in a midterm election in Texas.

On March 14, 2019, O’Rourke announced his candidacy in the 2020 United States presidential election. He suspended his campaign on November 1, 2019, due to a lack of traction and financial issues. He later endorsed Joe Biden, following endorsements by Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg.

O’Rourke is the 2022 Democratic gubernatorial nominee, challenging incumbent governor Greg Abbott. O’Rourke won the Democratic nomination for governor on March 1, 2022.

Wikipedia

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott won re-election to a third term, defeating the Democratic nominee, former Congressman Beto O'Rourke.[1] All statewide elected offices were currently held by Republicans. In his previous gubernatorial race in 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote.[2]

The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on March 1, 2022. O'Rourke and Abbott won outright majorities in their respective primaries, and therefore did not participate in the May 24 runoffs.

Texas had not elected a Democratic candidate for governor since Ann Richards won a narrow victory in 1990. Additionally, Abbott had a strong approval rating on election day, with 55% of voters approving to 45% disapproving.[3] Beto O'Rourke, who gained national attention in 2018 for his unusually close and competitive campaign against Senator Ted Cruz, was at one-time widely viewed as a rising star in the Texas Democratic Party and potential challenger for Abbott. However, in the intervening years, he amassed baggage that was leveraged against him in 2022. A failed run for President of the United States in 2020 was leveraged by Republicans to characterize him as opportunistic. Stances he had taken (and since reneged) related to gun control during that presidential campaign were also leveraged against him by Republicans.

Abbott won by 10.9%, a slightly smaller margin of victory than his 13.3% margin in 2018 in spite of a much more Republican national climate in 2022, making this the closest gubernatorial election in Texas since 2006, and the closest election of Abbott's entire political career since his first race for the Texas Supreme Court in 1998. Beto O'Rourke, meanwhile, performed 8.3% worse than his 2018 Senate run, but he still won the highest share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards received 45.9% in her unsuccessful reelection bid against George W. Bush in 1994. Abbott's raw vote total was less than his 4.65 million in 2018, while O'Rourke set a record of most raw votes for a Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate at around 3.55 million, but it was also less than his 4.04 million vote total in the 2018 Senate race.

Abbott carried 235 out of 254 counties, flipping the heavily Hispanic counties of Culberson and Zapata and becoming the first Republican gubernatorial candidate to win the latter in the state's history (though Zapata had earlier voted Republican in the 2020 presidential election), while O'Rourke became the first Democratic gubernatorial candidate to win the county of Fort Bend since 1974. O'Rourke outperformed Joe Biden two years prior among Latino voters, though his performance with them was still worse than past nominees.

Republican primary

On June 4, 2021, Texas Republican Party chairman Allen West announced his resignation as party chair.[4] West criticized Gov. Greg Abbott's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Texas.[5] The history of conflict between West and Abbott included a lawsuit by West and other Republicans challenging Abbott's extension of the early voting period in 2020, as well as a protest outside the Governor's Mansion over pandemic-related shutdowns as well as mask mandates.[6] On July 4, 2021, West announced that he would challenge Abbott in the 2022 gubernatorial primary.[7] Both West and fellow gubernatorial candidate Don Huffines were considered more conservative than Abbott.[8][9] On March 1, 2022, Abbott won the Republican primary by a smaller margin than in 2018.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Abbott

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. senators

State officials

Organizations

Don Huffines

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Texas state representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Allen West

Texas state representatives

Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott 		Don
Huffines 		Ricky Lynn
Perry 		Chad
Prather 		Allen
West 		Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[49] February 25–28, 2022 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 62% 10% 2% 2% 15% 5%[b] 3%
Emerson College[50] February 21–22, 2022 522 (LV) ± 4.2% 61% 9% 3% 3% 12% 3%[c] 9%
UT Tyler[51] February 8–15, 2022 581 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 3% 6% 3% 7% 5%[d] 15%
YouGov/UT[52] January 28 – February 7, 2022 375 (LV) ± 5.1% 60% 14% 5% 3% 15% 3%[e] –
Paradigm Partners (R)[53][A] January 31, 2022 1,542 (LV) ± 2.5% 34% 5% 6% 6% 43% 3%[f] 4%
UT Tyler[54] January 18–25, 2022 514 (LV) ± 5.1% 59% 4% 4% 2% 6% 4%[g] 20%
YouGov/UH[55] January 14–24, 2022 490 (LV) ± 3.7% 58% 7% 3% 2% 11% 2%[h] 17%
Paradigm Partners (R)[56][A] January 9, 2022 1,486 (LV) ± 2.5% 33% 5% 12% 3% 38% 3%[i] 7%
Paradigm Partners (R)[56][A] December 16, 2021 447 (LV) ± 4.5% 33% 2% 15% 1% 35% – 14%
Paradigm Partners (R)[56][A] November 30, 2021 – (LV) – 42% 3% – 2% 36% – 17%
UT Tyler[57] November 9–16, 2021 520 (LV) ± 4.7% 65% 3% – 6% 6% 3% 18%
Paradigm Partners (R)[56][A] November 11, 2021 – (LV) – 43% 3% – 2% 33% – 19%
YouGov/UT/TT[58] October 22–31, 2021 554 (RV) ± 4.2% 56% 7% – 4% 13% 4% 16%
YouGov/TXHPF[59] October 14–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 4% – 3% 13% – 19%
UT Tyler[60] September 7–14, 2021 427 (LV) ± 6.1% 70% 15% – – – 15% –
431 (LV) ± 6.0% 65% – – – 20% 15% –
Victory Insights (R)[61] July 22–24, 2021 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 80% – – – 20% – –
Paradigm Partners (R)[56][A] June 30, 2021 – (LV) – 73% – – – 17% – 10%
UT Tyler[62] June 22–29, 2021 440 (LV) ± 5.4% 77% 12% – – – 11% –
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott 		Don
Huffines 		Sid
Miller 		Allen
West 		Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[63][B] June 14–17, 2021 446 (LV) ± 4.6% 69% 3% 3% 13% –

Results

Results by county:
  Abbott
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[64]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 1,299,059 66.48%
Republican Allen West 239,557 12.26%
Republican Don Huffines 234,138 11.98%
Republican Chad Prather 74,173 3.80%
Republican Ricky Lynn Perry 61,424 3.14%
Republican Kandy Kaye Horn 23,605 1.21%
Republican Paul Belew 11,387 0.58%
Republican Danny Harrison 10,829 0.55%
Total votes 1,954,172 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Jack Daniel Foster Jr., teacher[14]
  • R. Star Locke, veteran[14]

Declined

Endorsements

Beto O'Rourke

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers and other media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Inocencio
Barrientez 		Michael
Cooper 		Joy
Diaz 		Jack
Foster Jr. 		Deirdre
Gilbert 		Star
Locke 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Rich
Wakeland 		Other Undecided
Emerson College[50] February 21–22, 2022 388 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 5% 4% – – – 78% 2% – 11%
UT Tyler[51] February 8–15, 2022 479 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 68% 2% – 14%
YouGov/UT[52] January 28 – February 7, 2022 348 (LV) ± 5.3% 2% 1% 2% – – – 93% 1% 1% –
UT Tyler[54] January 18–25, 2022 459 (LV) ± 5.4% 1% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 58% 0% – 27%
YouGov/UH[55] January 14–24, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.3% 3% 4% 3% – – – 73% 1% – 16%
YouGov/UT/TT[58] October 22–31, 2021 436 (RV) ± 4.7% – – – – – – 70% – 5% 25%

Results

Results by county:
O'Rourke:
  •   O'Rourke—>90%
  •   O'Rourke—80–90%
  •   O'Rourke—70–80%
  •   O'Rourke—60–70%
  •   O'Rourke—50–60%
  •   O'Rourke—40–50%
Wakeland:
  •   Wakeland—40–50%
Barrientez:
  •   Barrientez—50–60%
No vote:
  •   No vote
Democratic primary results[64]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 983,182 91.41%
Democratic Joy Diaz 33,622 3.13%
Democratic Michael Cooper 32,673 3.04%
Democratic Rich Wakeland 13,237 1.23%
Democratic Inocencio Barrientez 12,887 1.20%
Total votes 1,075,601 100%

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Delilah Barrios, environmental activist[95]

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Declared

  • Mark Jay Tippetts, attorney, former Lago Vista city councilman, and nominee for governor in 2018[96]

Withdrew/disqualified

Independents and other parties

Candidates

Declared

Disqualified

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[106] Likely R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[107] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[108] Likely R June 29, 2022
Politico[109] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[110] Lean R January 10, 2022
Fox News[111] Likely R May 12, 2022
538[112] Solid R September 21, 2022
Elections Daily[113] Likely R November 7, 2022

Debates

2022 Texas gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderators Link Republican Democratic
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn

Greg Abbott Beto O'Rourke
1 Sep. 30, 2022 KXAN-TV Sally Hernandez
Gromer Jeffers
Steve Spriester 		KXAN-TV[114] P P

Post-primary endorsements

Greg Abbott (R)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Governors

State officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Beto O'Rourke (D)

U.S. executive branch officials

U.S. representatives

State officials

County officials

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other
[j] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[164] October 3–19, 2022 October 25, 2022 52.8% 43.5% 3.7% Abbott +9.3
FiveThirtyEight[165] June 14, 2021 – October 25, 2022 October 25, 2022 51.4% 42.9% 5.7% Abbott +8.5
Average 52.1% 43.2% 4.7% Abbott +8.9
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Other Undecided
CWS Research (R)[166][C] November 2–5, 2022 786 (LV) ± 3.5% 53% 42% 2% 3%
UT Tyler[167] October 17–24, 2022 1,330 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 44% 7%[k] 1%
973 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 44% 5%[l] 1%
Emerson College[168] October 17–19, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 42% 1%[m] 4%
53% 44% 3%[n] –
Siena College[169] October 16–19, 2022 649 (LV) ± 5.1% 52% 43% 2%[o] 4%
Beacon Research (D)[170][D] October 15–19, 2022 1,264 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 45% – –
BSP Research/UT[171][E] October 11–18, 2022 1,400 (RV) ± 2.6% 46% 42% 3%[p] 9%
YouGov/UT[172] October 7–17, 2022 833 (LV) ± 3.3% 54% 43% 4%[q] 2%
Civiqs[173] October 8–11, 2022 791 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% 3%[r] 0%
Marist College[174] October 3–6, 2022 1,058 (RV) ± 4.4% 49% 45% 1%[s] 5%
898 (LV) ± 4.8% 52% 44% 1%[t] 4%
Quinnipiac University[175] September 22–26, 2022 1,327 (LV) ± 2.7% 53% 46% 2%[u] –
Emerson College[176] September 20–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 42% 4%[v] 5%
ActiVote[177] June 23 – September 21, 2022 323 (LV) ± 6.0% 47% 40% 12%[w] –
Siena College[178] September 14–18, 2022 651 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 43% 2%[x] 5%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[179] September 6–15, 2022 1,172 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 44% 2%[y] 3%
UT Tyler[180] September 7–13, 2022 1,268 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 38% 9%[z] 2%
Data for Progress (D)[181] September 2–9, 2022 712 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 45% 2%[aa] 3%
Echelon Insights[182] August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 46% – 6%
YouGov/UT[183] August 26 – September 6, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 40% 4%[ab] 11%
YouGov/UH/TSU[184] August 11–29, 2022 1,312 (LV) ± 2.7% 49% 42% 2%[ac] 7%
UT Tyler[185] August 1–7, 2022 1,384 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 13%[ad] 1%
1,215 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 42% 9%[ae] 1%
YouGov/UH[186] June 27 – July 7, 2022 1,169 (RV) ± 2.9% 47% 42% 2%[af] 9%
1,006 (LV) ± 3.1% 49% 44% 2%[af] 5%
YouGov/CBS News[187] June 22–27, 2022 548 (LV) ± 6.6% 49% 41% 4% 6%
YouGov/UT[188] June 16–24, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 39% 6%[ag] 10%
YouGov/PerryUndem[189] June 15–24, 2022 2,000 (RV) ± 2.2% 47% 43% 3% 5%
Quinnipiac University[175] June 9–13, 2022 1,257 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 43% 2% 5%
Blueprint Polling (D)[190] June 8–10, 2022 603 (LV) ± 4.0% 56% 37% – 7%
UT Tyler[191] May 2–10, 2022 1,232 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 14%[ah] 2%
YouGov/UT[192] April 14–22, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 48% 37% 7% 9%
YouGov/TXHPF[193] March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 3%[ai] 5%
Texas Lyceum[194] March 11–20, 2022 926 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 40% 7% 11%
Emerson College[50] February 21–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% – 3%
UT Tyler[51] February 8–15, 2022 1,188 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38% 16% 1%
Climate Nexus[195] February 1–9, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 40% 7% 8%
YouGov/UT[52] January 28 – February 7, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 37% 6% 11%
UT Tyler[54] January 18–25, 2022 1,072 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 36% 16% 1%
YouGov/UH[55] January 14–24, 2022 – (LV)[aj] –[aj] 48% 43% 3%[ak] 6%
Quinnipiac University[196] December 2–6, 2021 1,224 (RV) ± 2.8% 52% 37% 4% 6%
UT Tyler[57] November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 39% 16% –
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[197] November 9, 2021 884 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 39% 5% 7%
854 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 44% 5% 6%
YouGov/UT/TT[58] October 22–31, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 37% 7% 10%
YouGov/TXHPF[59] October 14–27, 2021 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 42% 3%[al] 12%
UT Tyler[60] September 7–14, 2021 1,148 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 37% 21% –
UT Tyler[62] June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 33% 22% –
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[198][F] June 14–17, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 42% – 6%
Hypothetical polling

Greg Abbott vs. Julián Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Julián
Castro (D) 		Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[197] November 9, 2021 884 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 35% 4% 9%
854 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 39% 4% 8%

Greg Abbott vs. Beto O'Rourke with Matthew McConaughey as an independent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Beto
O'Rourke (D) 		Matthew
McConaughey (I) 		Other Undecided
Echelon Insights[182] August 31 – September 7, 2022 813 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 39% 13% – 6%
UT Tyler[57] November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 37% 26% 27% 10% –
YouGov/TXHPF[59] October 14–27, 2021 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 37% 9% 2%[am] 12%

Greg Abbott vs. Don Huffines

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Don
Huffines 		Other
UT Tyler[62] June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 22% 32%

Greg Abbott vs. Matthew McConaughey

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Matthew
McConaughey 		Other
UT Tyler[57] November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 35% 43% 22%
UT Tyler[60] September 7–14, 2021 1,148 (RV) ± 3.7% 35% 44% 21%
UT Tyler[62] June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 38% 23%
UT Tyler[199] April 6–13, 2021 1,124 (RV) ± 2.9% 33% 45% 22%

Greg Abbott vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[200][G] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 34% 20%

Greg Abbott vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Greg
Abbott (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Quinnipiac University[201] September 24–27, 2021 863 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 51% 7%
Quinnipiac University[202] June 15–21, 2021 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%

Results

State house district results
State senate district results
2022 Texas gubernatorial election[203]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 4,437,099 54.76% Decrease1.05
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 3,553,656 43.86% Increase1.35
Libertarian Mark Tippetts 81,932 1.01% Decrease0.68
Green Delilah Barrios 28,584 0.35% N/A
American Solidarity Jacqueline Abernathy 1,243 0.02% N/A
Total votes 8,102,908 100.00%
Majority 883,443 10.90% Decrease2.40
Turnout 8,102,908 45.85% Decrease6.98
Registered electors 17,672,143
Republican hold

By county

County[204] Greg Abbott
Republican 		Beto O'Rourke
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total
# % # % # % # %
Anderson 11,762 81.4261% 2,545 17.6186% 138 0.95535% 9,217 63.8075% 14,445
Andrews 3,302 86.24% 479 12.51% 48 1.25% 2,823 73.73% 3,829
Angelina 19,142 77.83% 5,174 21.04% 279 1.13% 13,968 56.79% 24,595
Aransas 7,581 78.63% 1,924 19.96% 136 1.41% 5,657 58.67% 9,641
Archer 3,498 90.90% 315 8.19% 35 82.71% 3,183 56.79% 3,848
Armstrong 833 92.25% 60 6.64% 10 1.11% 773 85.61% 903
Atascosa 8,801 69.30% 3,709 29.21% 189 1.49% 5,092 40.09% 12,699
Austin 9,209 82.1865239% 1,873 16.7157519% 123 1.0977242% 7,336 65.4707720% 11,205
Bailey 1,105 82.896% 213 15.979% 15 1.125% 892 66.917% 1,333
Bandera 8,527 81.36% 1,816 17.33% 137 1.31% 6,711 64.03% 10,480
Bastrop 16,707 57.15% 12,007 41.07% 521 1.78% 4,700 16.08% 29,235
Baylor 1,183 90.512624% 105 8.033665% 19 1.453711% 1,078 82.478959% 1,307
Bee 4,347 67.83707865% 1,976 30.83645443% 85 1.32646692% 2,371 37.00062422% 6,408
Bell 51,888 59.0066% 34,785 39.5572% 1,263 1.4363% 17,103 19.4494% 87,936
Bexar 221,993 41.05% 311,023 57.52% 7,752 1.43% -89,030 -16.47% 540,768
Blanco 5,142 75.91% 1,522 22.47% 110 1.62% 3,620 53.44% 6,774
Borden 306 96.53% 9 22.47% 2 0.63% 297 74.06% 317
Bosque 6,278 84.065% 1,099 14.716% 91 1.219% 5,179 69.349% 7,468
Bowie 20,206 75.18% 6,060 22.55% 610 2.27% 14,146 52.63% 26,876
Brazoria 64,938 59.07% 43,364 39.44% 1,634 1.49% 21,574 19.63% 109,936
Brazos 35,768 59.66% 23,103 38.53% 1,083 1.81% 12,665 21.13% 59,954
Brewster 2,014 53.52% 1,678 44.59% 71 1.89% 336 8.93% 3,763
Briscoe 539 91.047% 49 8.277% 4 0.676% 490 82.770% 592
Brooks 785 39.09% 1,204 59.96% 19 0.95% -419 -20.87% 2,008
Brown 10,853 88.34% 1,308 10.65% 124 1.01% 9,545 77.69% 12,285
Burleson 5,506 82.032% 1,142 17.014% 64 0.954% 4,364 65.018% 6,712
Burnet 16,505 78.182% 4,337 20.544% 269 1.274% 12,168 57.638% 21,111
Caldwell 6,351 55.92% 4,790 42.17% 217 1.91% 1,561 13.75% 11,358
Calhoun 4,228 75.61% 1,292 23.10% 72 1.29% 2,936 52.51% 5,592
Callahan 4,770 90.58% 444 8.43% 52 0.99% 4,326 82.15% 4,378
Cameron 34,290 44.4776% 41,667 54.0463% 1,138 1.4761% -7,377 -9.5687% 77,095
Camp 3,082 77.38% 863 21.67% 38 0.95% 2,219 55.71% 3,983
Carson 2,177 90.94% 183 7.64% 34 1.42% 1,994 83.30% 2,394
Cass 8,415 84.41% 1,460 14.65% 94 0.94% 6,955 69.76% 9,969
Castro 1,226 82.117% 239 16.008% 28 1.875% 987 66.109% 1,493
Chambers 12,964 82.384% 2,559 16.262% 213 1.354% 10,405 66.122% 15,736
Cherokee 12,023 83.01% 2,323 16.04% 137 1.354% 10,405 0.87% 15,736
Childress 1,562 89.21% 162 9.25% 27 1.54% 1,400 79.96% 1,751
Clay 4,052 90.225% 393 8.751% 46 1.024% 3,659 81.474% 4,491
Cochran 506 82.14% 95 15.42% 15 2.44% 411 66.72% 616
Coke 1,260 90.71% 114 8.21% 15 1.08% 1,146 82.50% 1,389
Coleman 2,942 90.83% 269 8.31% 28 0.86% 2,673 82.52% 3,239
Collin 198,236 54.31% 161,737 44.31% 5,003 1.37% 36,499 13.00% 364,976
Collingsworth 845 91.35% 75 8.11% 5 0.54% 770 83.24% 925
Colorado 6,084 80.6255% 1,395 18.4866% 67 0.8879% 4,689 62.1389% 7,546
Comal 54,503 72.901% 19,195 25.674% 1,065 1.425% 35,308 47.227% 74,763
Comanche 4,203 87.09% 567 11.75% 56 1.16% 3,636 75.34% 4,826
Concho 818 86.74% 109 11.56% 16 1.70% 709 47.227% 943
Cooke 12,815 83.62% 2,308 15.06% 202 1.32% 10,507 68.56% 15,325
Coryell 11,652 71.1877% 4,450 27.1872% 266 1.6251% 7,202 44.0005% 16,368
Cottle 453 88.132% 54 10.506% 7 1.362% 399 77.626% 514
Crane 983 85.70% 150 13.08% 14 1.22% 833 72.62% 1,147
Crockett 964 75.73% 276 21.68% 33 2.59% 688 54.05% 1,273
Crosby 990 78.95% 255 20.33% 9 0.72% 735 58.62% 1,254
Culberson 391 53.197% 328 44.626% 16 2.177% 63 8.571% 735
Dallam 391 80.95% 78 16.15% 14 2.90% 313 64.80% 483
Dallas 224,684 35.93% 392,634 62.78% 8,073 1.29% -167,950 -26.85% 625,391
Dawson 2,088 82.99% 402 15.98% 26 1.03% 1,686 67.01% 2,516
Deaf Smith 2,281 77.40% 635 21.55% 31 1.05% 1,646 55.85% 2,947
Delta 1,711 84.41% 295 14.55% 21 1.04% 1,416 69.86% 2,027
Denton 177,017 55.70% 136,389 42.92% 4,375 1.38% 40,628 12.78% 317,781
DeWitt 5,151 84.986% 878 14.486% 32 0.528% 4,273 70.500% 6,061
Dickens 684 86.47% 98 12.39% 9 1.14% 586 74.08% 791
Dimmit 1,080 37.55% 1,757 61.09% 39 1.36% -677 -23.54% 2,876
Donley 1,084 90.94% 97 8.14% 11 0.92% 987 82.80% 1,192
Duval 1,600 43.52557127% 2,018 54.89662677% 58 1.57780196% -418 -11.37105550% 3,676
Eastland 5,468 88.91% 634 10.31% 48 0.78% 4,834 78.60% 6,150
Ector 19,212 75.49% 5,950 23.38% 287 1.13% 13,262 52.11% 25,449
Edwards 712 87.47% 99 12.16% 3 0.37% 613 75.31% 814
El Paso 57,573 34.80% 105,156 63.56% 2,717 1.64% -47,583 -28.76% 165,446
Ellis 45,564 67.23% 21,338 31.49% 868 1.28% 24,226 35.74% 67,770
Erath 10,956 83.538% 1,976 15.067% 183 1.395% 8,980 68.471% 13,115
Falls 3,480 73.9953% 1,168 24.8352% 55 1.1695% 2,312 49.1601% 4,703
Fannin 9,694 83.10% 1,831 15.70% 140 1.20% 7,863 67.40% 11,665
Fayette 8,649 82.37% 1,748 16.65% 103 0.98% 6,901 65.72% 10,500
Fisher 1,172 83.65% 210 14.99% 19 1.36% 962 68.66% 1,401
Floyd 1,250 85.21% 201 13.70% 16 1.09% 1,049 71.51% 1,467
Foard 452 85.389% 69 13.093% 8 1.518% 381 72.296% 527
Fort Bend 117,249 46.89% 129,116 51.63% 3,701 1.48% -11,867 -4.74% 250,066
Franklin 3,369 86.01% 512 13.07% 306 0.92% 2,857 72.94% 4,187
Freestone 5,600 84.07% 991 14.88% 70 1.05% 4,609 69.19% 6,661
Frio 1,872 50.2145923% 1,791 48.0418455% 65 1.74356223% 81 2.1727468% 3,728
Gaines 3,761 91.44% 311 7.56% 41 1.00% 3,450 83.88% 4,113
Galveston 68,822 62.15% 40,229 36.33% 1,683 1.52% 28,593 25.85% 110,734
Garza 1,056 88.00% 135 11.25% 9 0.75% 921 69.79% 1,200
Gillespie 10,801 80.67% 2,421 18.08% 167 1.25% 8,380 62.59% 13,389
Glasscock 542 94.76% 27 4.72% 3 0.52% 515 90.04% 572
Goliad 2,664 79.14% 663 19.70% 39 1.16% 2,001 59.44% 3,366
Gonzales 4,369 78.49443% 1,129 20.28387% 68 1.22170% 3,240 58.21056% 5,566
Gray 5,013 90.19% 478 8.60% 67 1.21% 4,535 81.59% 5,558
Grayson 34,903 77.75% 9,563 21.30% 425 0.95% 25,340 56.45% 44,891
Gregg 24,223 72.93% 8,662 26.08% 330 0.99% 15,561 46.85% 33,215
Grimes 7,607 80.65% 1,732 18.36% 93 0.99% 5,875 62.29% 9,432
Guadalupe 36,882 64.477% 19,356 33.838% 964 1.685% 17,526 30.639% 57,202
Hale 5,094 80.48665% 1,165 18.40733% 70 1.10603% 3,929 62.07932% 6,329
Hall 772 88.03% 94 10.72% 11 1.25% 678 77.31% 960
Hamilton 3,006 82.68% 433 12.46% 37 1.06% 2,573 74.02% 3,476
Hansford 1,419 93.23% 91 5.98% 12 0.79% 1,340 87.25% 1,510
Hardeman 866 87.92% 114 11.57% 5 0.51% 752 76.35% 985
Hardin 17,447 88.88% 2,035 10.37% 147 0.75% 15,412 78.51% 19,629
Harris 490,261 44.47% 595,653 54.03% 16,504 1.50% -105,392 -9.56% 1,102,418
Harrison 16,472 77.13% 4,688 21.95% 196 0.92% 11,784 55.18% 21,356
Hartley 1,463 92.95% 96 6.10% 15 0.95% 1,367 86.85% 1,564
Haskell 1,465 87.72% 191 11.44% 14 0.84% 1,274 76.28% 1,670
Hays 39,085 43.58% 48,970 54.60% 1,628 1.82% -9,885 -11.02% 89,683
Hemphill 1,198 88.02% 138 10.14% 25 1.84% 1,060 77.88% 1,361
Henderson 22,909 81.8120% 4,798 17.1345% 295 1.0535% 18,111 64.6775% 28,002
Hidalgo 56,783 40.22% 82,671 58.55% 1,742 1.23% -25,888 -18.33% 141,196
Hill 9,418 82.723% 1,830 16.074% 137 1.203% 7,588 66.649% 11,385
Hockley 4,690 84.795% 786 14.211% 55 0.994% 3,904 70.584% 5,531
Hood 22,596 82.988% 4,301 15.796% 331 1.216% 18,295 67.192% 27,228
Hopkins 10,223 83.24% 1,999 16.28% 59 0.48% 8,224 66.96% 12,281
Houston 5,726 79.705% 1,399 19.474% 59 0.821% 4,327 60.231% 7,184
Howard 5,367 81.71% 1,077 16.40% 124 1.89% 4,290 65.31% 6,568
Hudspeth 606 66.89% 270 29.80% 30 3.31% 336 37.09% 906
Hunt 23,744 77.75% 6,422 21.03% 374 1.22% 17,322 56.72% 30,540
Hutchinson 5,437 89.69% 540 8.91% 85 1.40% 4,897 80.78% 6,062
Irion 618 88.92% 70 10.07% 7 1.01% 548 78.85% 695
Jack 2,744 91.68% 227 7.58% 22 0.74% 2,517 84.10% 2,993
Jackson 4,013 87.30% 550 11.96% 34 0.74% 3,463 75.34% 4,597
Jasper 9,701 85.25% 1,601 14.07% 77 0.68% 8,100 71.18% 11,379
Jeff Davis 641 61.05% 374 35.62% 35 3.33% 267 25.43% 1,050
Jefferson 34,988 56.02% 26,641 42.66% 822 1.32% 8,347 13.36% 62,451
Jim Hogg 650 42.15% 876 56.81% 16 1.04% -226 -14.66% 1,542
Jim Wells 5,063 53.05% 4,375 45.85% 105 2.25% 688 7.20% 9,543
Johnson 42,954 76.89% 12,266 21.96% 644 1.15% 30,688 54.93% 55,864
Jones 4,349 87.12% 581 11.64% 62 1.24% 3,768 75.48% 4,349
Karnes 3,007 78.76% 776 20.32% 35 0.92% 2,231 58.44% 3,818
Kaufman 28,306 66.09% 14,024 32.74% 501 1.17% 14,282 33.35% 42,831
Kendall 17,719 78.55% 4,506 19.98% 332 1 47% 13,213 58.57% 22,557
Kenedy 109 71.24% 42 27.45% 2 1.31% 67 43.79% 153
Kent 312 89.143% 34 9.714% 4 1.143% 278 79.429% 350
Kerr 17,524 77.95% 4,648 20.68% 308 1.37% 12,876 57.27% 22,480
Kimble 1,666 88.81% 188 10.02% 22 1.17% 1,478 78.79% 1,876
King 100 97.09% 3 2.91% 0 0.00% 97 94.18% 103
Kinney 907 75.96% 258 21.61% 29 2.43% 649 54.35% 1,194
Kleberg 4,074 53.40% 3,463 45.39% 92 1.21% 611 7.71% 7,629
Knox 889 85.48% 140 13.46% 11 1.06% 749 72.02% 1,040
Lamar 12,521 81.61% 2,657 17.32% 164 1.07% 9,864 74.29% 15,342
Lamb 2,628 85.325% 419 13.604% 33 1.071% 2,209 71.721% 3,080
Lampasas 6,625 80.293% 1,502 18.204% 124 1.503% 5,123 62.089% 8,251
La Salle 761 52.96% 662 46.07% 14 0.97% 99 6.89% 1,437
Lavaca 7,380 89.90% 759 9.25% 70 0.85% 6,621 80.65% 8,209
Lee 5,108 81.31% 1,095 17.43% 79 1.26% 4,013 63.88% 6,282
Leon 5,108 86.74% 698 11.85% 83 1.41% 4,410 74.89% 5,889
Liberty 16,080 81.25% 3,488 17.62% 223 1.13% 12,592 63.63% 19,791
Limestone 5,390 78.67% 1,366 19.94% 95 1.39% 4,776 58.73% 6,851
Lipscomb 894 91.5046% 69 7.0624% 14 1.4330% 825 84.4422% 977
Live Oak 3,424 85.600% 545 13.625% 31 0.775% 2,879 71.975% 4,000
Llano 8,977 81.39% 1,920 17.41% 132 1.20% 7,057 63.98% 11,029
Loving 70 88.61% 6 7.59% 3 3.80% 64 81.02% 79
Lubbock 58,163 69.433435% 24,497 29.243864% 1,108 1.322701% 33,666 40.189571% 83,768
Lynn 1,502 86.97% 196 11.35% 28 1.68% 1,306 75.62% 1,726
Madison 3,272 83.75% 595 15.23% 40 1.02% 2,677 68.52% 3,907
Marion 2,557 77.44% 700 21.20% 45 1.36% 1,857 56.14% 3,302
Martin 1,341 88.93% 149 9.88% 18 1.19% 1,192 79.05% 1,508
Mason 1,703 85.5349% 268 13.4606% 20 1.0045% 1,435 72.0743% 1,991
Matagorda 7,350 75.61% 2,273 23.38% 98 1.01% 5,077 52.23% 9,721
Maverick 3,862 40.30% 5,555 57.97% 166 1.73% -1,693 -17.61% 9,583
McCulloch 2,221 86.65626% 314 12.25127% 28 1.09247% 1,907 74.40499% 2,563
McLennan 47,875 65.95% 23,765 32.74% 950 2.10% 24,110 33.21% 72,590
McMullen 343 92.20% 28 7.53% 1 0.27% 315 84.67% 372
Medina 12,601 72.56% 4,591 26.44% 174 1.00% 8,010 46.12% 17,366
Menard 659 85.03226% 110 14.19355% 6 0.77419% 549 70.83871% 775
Midland 32,389 80.87% 7,154 17.86% 510 1.27% 25,235 63.01% 40,053
Milam 6,717 80.37% 1,559 18.65% 82 0.98% 5,158 61.72% 8,358
Mills 1,894 89.298% 198 9.335% 29 1.367% 1,696 79.962% 2,121
Mitchell 1,576 88.49% 185 10.39% 20 1.12% 1,391 78.10% 1,781
Montague 7,004 89.17% 765 9.74% 86 1.09% 6,239 79.43% 7,855
Montgomery 152,694 73.39% 52,654 25.31% 2,707 1.30% 100,040 50.08% 208,055
Moore 3,081 85.5121% 479 13.2945% 43 1.1934% 2,602, 72.2176% 3,603
Morris 3,041 76.10% 921 23 05% 34 0.85% 2,120 53.05% 3,996
Motley 482 95.6349% 18 3.5714% 4 0.7937% 464 92.0635% 504
Nacogdoches 13,248 69.91% 5,480 28.92% 222 1.17% 7,768 40.99% 18,950
Navarro 10,830 76.63% 3,157 22.34% 146 1.03% 7,673 54.29% 14,133
Newton 3,660 83.6954% 689 15.7558% 24 0.5488% 2,971 67.9396% 4,373
Nolan 3,093 81.33% 647 17.01% 63 1.66% 2,446 64.32% 3,803
Nueces 47,567 53.27% 40,474 45.32% 1,260 1.41% 7,093 7.95% 89,301
Ochiltree 1,975 92.90% 135 6.35% 16 0.75% 1,840 86.55% 2,126
Oldham 710 92.21% 50 6.49% 10 1.30% 660 85.72% 770
Orange 21,153 84.28% 3,722 14.83% 224 224% 17,431 69.45% 25,099
Palo Pinto 7,039 83.21% 1,213 15.66% 61 1.13% 5,826 67.55% 8,313
Panola 7,039 84.6746% 1,213 14.5916% 61 0.7338% 5,826 70.0830% 8,313
Parker 52,523 82.79553% 10,123 15.95756% 791 1.24691% 42,400 66.83797% 63,437
Parmer 1,546 87.44% 202 11.43% 20 1.13% 1,344 76.01% 1,768
Pecos 2,548 69.20% 1,043 28.33% 91 2.47% 1,505 40.87% 3,682
Polk 13,377 79.74% 3,229 19.25% 170 1.01% 10,148 60.49% 16,776
Potter 16,082 73.750% 5,361 24.585% 363 1.665% 10,721 49.165% 21,806
Presidio 561 32.54% 1,133 65.72% 30 1.74% -572 -33.18% 1,724
Rains 4,339 87.01% 596 11.95% 52 1.04% 3,743 75.06% 6,528
Randall 39,243 81.724% 8,228 17.135% 548 1.141% 31,015 64.589% 48,019
Reagan 616 81.62% 90 16.67% 10 1.71% 526 64.96% 716
Real 1,337 85.21351% 218 13.89420% 14 0.89229% 1,119 71.31931% 1,569
Red River 3,482 81.4693% 764 17.8755% 28 0.6551% 2,718 63.5938% 4,274
Reeves 1,341 61.57% 801 36.78% 36 1.65% 540 24.79% 2,178
Refugio 1,658 71.59% 639 27.59% 19 0.82% 1,019 44.00% 2,316
Roberts 430 96.8468468% 7 1.5765766% 7 1.5765766% 423 95.2702702% 444
Robertson 4,643 77.16% 1,293 21.49% 81 1.35% 3,350 55.67% 6,017
Rockwall 30,211 70.4334% 12,132 28.2843% 550 1.2823% 18,079 42.1491% 42,893
Runnels 2,924 90.41% 277 8.57% 33 1.02% 2,647 81.84% 3,234
Rusk 12,762 81.66% 2,697 17.26% 169 1.08% 10,065 64.40% 15,628
Sabine 3,755 90.16% 385 9.24% 25 0.60% 3,370 80.92% 4,165
San Augustine 2,288 79.86% 546 19.06% 31 1.08% 1,742 60.80% 2,865
San Jacinto 7,882 82.54% 1,540 16.13% 127 2.00% 6,342 66.41% 9,549
San Patricio 12,028 67.20% 5,643 31.53% 227 1.27% 6,385 35.67% 17,898
San Saba 1,947 89.93% 200 9.24% 18 0.83% 1,747 80.69% 2,165
Schleicher 834 82.74% 159 15.77% 15 1.49% 834 66.97% 1,008
Scurry 3,607 87.38% 480 11.63% 41 0.99% 3,127 75.75% 4,128
Shackelford 1,148 92.65537% 81 6.53753% 10 0.80710% 1,067 86.11784% 1,239
Shelby 5,846 84.33% 1,045 15.08% 104 0.59% 4,801 69.25% 6,995
Sherman 665 93.93% 35 4.94% 8 1.13% 630 88.99% 708
Smith 56,608 74.27% 18,763 24.62% 849 1.11% 37,845 41.88% 76,220
Somervell 3,430 84.90% 553 13.69% 57 1.41% 2,877 71.21% 4,040
Starr 4,460 40.12% 6,455 58.06% 202 1.82% -1,995 -17.94% 14,182
Stephens 2,511 91.4754% 217 7.9053% 17 0.6193% 2,294 83.5701% 2,745
Sterling 423 94.42% 20 4.46% 5 1.12% 403 89.96% 448
Stonewall 492 87.08% 70 12.39% 3 0.53% 422 74.69% 565
Sutton 970 83.48% 178 15.32% 14 1.20% 792 68.16% 1,162
Swisher 1,399 83.97% 238 14.29% 29 1.74% 1,161 69.68% 1,666
Tarrant 303,600 51.34% 279,423 47.25% 8,345 1.41% 24,177 4.09% 591,368
Taylor 30,030 76.116% 8,888 22.528% 535 1.356% 21,142 53.588% 39,453
Terrell 326 76.526% 94 22.066% 6 1.408% 232 54.460% 426
Terry 2,167 83.668% 377 14.556% 46 1.776% 1,790 69.112% 2,590
Throckmorton 612 91.75% 51 7.65% 4 0.60% 561 84.10% 667
Titus 5,701 77.861% 1,535 20.964% 86 1.175% 4,166 56.897% 7,322
Tom Green 23,873 74.96% 7,516 23.60% 458 1.44% 16,357 51.36% 31,847
Travis 119,321 25.89% 334,667 72.61% 6,911 1.50% -215,346 -46.72% 460,979
Trinity 4,465 83.60% 825 15.45% 51 0.95% 3,640 68.15% 5,341
Tyler 6,343 87.54% 816 11.26% 87 1.20% 5,527 76.28% 7,246
Upshur 12,270 85.997% 1,856 13.008% 142 0.995% 10,414 72.988% 14,268
Upton 908 85.82% 124 11.72% 26 2.46% 784 74.10% 1,058
Uvalde 4,779 60.14% 3,048 38.36% 119 1.50% 1,731 21.78% 7,946
Totals 4,437,099 54.76% 3,553,656 43.86% 112,153 1.38% 883,443 10.90% 8,102,908

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

County flips:

By congressional district

Abbott won 25 of 38 congressional districts.[205]

District Abbott O'Rourke Representative
1st 77% 22% Louie Gohmert (117th Congress)
Nathaniel Moran (118th Congress)
2nd 62% 36% Dan Crenshaw
3rd 59% 39% Van Taylor (117th Congress)
Keith Self (118th Congress)
4th 66% 33% Pat Fallon
5th 63% 35% Lance Gooden
6th 65% 34% Jake Ellzey
7th 35% 63% Lizzie Fletcher
8th 67% 32% Kevin Brady (117th Congress)
Morgan Luttrell (118th Congress)
9th 23% 76% Al Green
10th 61% 37% Michael McCaul
11th 74% 25% August Pfluger
12th 60% 39% Kay Granger
13th 75% 24% Ronny Jackson
14th 66% 32% Randy Weber
15th 52% 46% Vicente Gonzalez (117th Congress)
Monica De La Cruz (118th Congress)
16th 35% 64% Veronica Escobar
17th 65% 34% Pete Sessions
18th 25% 73% Sheila Jackson Lee
19th 77% 22% Jodey Arrington
20th 32% 66% Joaquín Castro
21st 61% 38% Chip Roy
22nd 59% 39% Troy Nehls
23rd 54% 44% Tony Gonzales
24th 58% 41% Beth Van Duyne
25th 68% 31% Roger Williams
26th 61% 37% Michael Burgess
27th 64% 35% Michael Cloud
28th 46% 52% Henry Cuellar
29th 30% 68% Sylvia Garcia
30th 22% 77% Eddie Bernice Johnson (117th Congress)
Jasmine Crockett (118th Congress)
31st 61% 37% John Carter
32nd 34% 64% Colin Allred
33rd 26% 73% Marc Veasey
34th 43% 56% Mayra Flores (117th Congress)
Vicente Gonzalez (118th Congress)
35th 26% 73% Lloyd Doggett (117th Congress)
Greg Casar (118th Congress)
36th 67% 31% Brian Babin
37th 21% 77% Lloyd Doggett
38th 61% 38% Wesley Hunt

Analysis

Map of MECE (mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive) partition of Texas into 12 regions[206]

Texas Democrats hoped for Beto O'Rourke to achieve an upset over the incumbent Greg Abbott, which did not materialize. Abbott won by 10.9%, down from 13.3% in 2018. Abbott's margin was slightly larger than aggregate polling, but virtually in line with the last poll conducted. He won the vast majority of counties (235 out of 254), mostly rural, and by significantly wide margins. In particular, 34 counties, mainly in West Texas and the Texas panhandle, gave Abbott over 90% of the vote. This was the most by any Texas Republican gubernatorial candidate, and the most for any candidate since Democrat Allan Shivers' 1954 re-election.[207]

Abbott won the three largest metro areas in the state, which include Dallas–Fort Worth–Arlington in North Texas, Houston–The Woodlands–Sugar Land in Southeast Texas, and San Antonio–New Braunfels in South-Central Texas. He also won all of the state's mid-sized metro areas outside of the Rio Grande Valley, which include Corpus Christi along the coastal bend; Waco, Killeen–Temple–Fort Hood, and Bryan–College Station in Central Texas; Beaumont–Port Arthur, Tyler and Longview in East Texas; Lubbock, Abilene, and Midland-Odessa in West Texas; and Amarillo in the Panhandle. Abbott also won an urban county, Tarrant, home to Fort Worth and did well in the suburban counties of the Texas Triangle, winning Brazoria, Galveston, and Montgomery counties around Houston; Comal and Guadalupe around San Antonio; Collin, Denton, Ellis, Kaufman, and Rockwall in the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex; and Williamson in Greater Austin.[208]

In DFW and Austin specifically, Republican strength had declined somewhat in these metros, with Abbott carrying Collin, Denton, Tarrant, and Williamson by 10.07%, 12.81%, 4.11%, and 0.62% respectively, down from his margins of 19.48%, 20.60%, 10.64%, and 10.71% from 2018. Excluding the largest metro areas, Abbott improved on his 2018 margins.

O'Rourke, despite his loss, did best in most of Texas's urban centers. He carried Travis, home to the state capital Austin (72.6%-25.9%), his best performance in the state; El Paso, his home county, 63.4%-35%; Dallas (62.8%-35.9%); Bexar, home to San Antonio (57.5%-41.1%); and Harris, home to Houston (54%-44.5%). He also carried Hays, a rapidly growing county south of Austin which contains San Marcos and Texas State University along with fast-growing cities of Kyle, and Buda by 54.5%-43.7%. Despite improving on 2018 nominee Lupe Valdez's margins in these counties, he did worse in all of them compared to his Senate campaign in 2018, and, excluding Travis and Hays, worse than Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential race. The only county O'Rourke flipped was suburban Fort Bend outside Houston, which voted for Abbott by 0.2% in 2018, but voted for O'Rourke by 4.68% in this election.

Outside the Texas Triangle and Trans Pecos, the only other area O'Rourke won was heavily Hispanic South Texas along the U.S. border with Mexico. His performance was worse than Valdez's and his own from 2018, which continued the trend of rural Hispanic voters away from the Democrats towards Republicans, but he did outperform Biden from 2020. Counties that voted for Biden by single digits like Duval (2.61%), Starr (5%), and Maverick (9.45%); voted for O'Rourke 11.02%, 17.85%, and 17.68% respectively. Despite this improvement from the 2020 presidential race, Abbott flipped two heavily Hispanic counties, Zapata and Culberson (in the Trans Pecos).

Exit polls according to NBC News showed Abbott winning male (58%-41%) and female voters (51%-48%), whites (66%-33%), and other races (67%-31%), voters over 45 (60%-39%), college graduates (52%-47%) and non-college graduates (56%-43%), and voters who denied the results of the 2020 presidential election (94%-5%). O'Rourke won black voters (84%-15%), Latinos (57%-40%), Asians (52%-48%), voters between 18 and 44 (54%-44%), Independents (49%-47%) and moderates (60%-38%).[209][210][211]

Fox News Voter Analysis exit polls showed Abbott winning male (59%-39%) and female voters (51%-48%); whites (68%-30%) and other races and ethnicities (53%-42%); voters over 45 (61%-37%); college graduates (54%-44%), non-college graduates (56%-43%); white men (70%-28%); white women (67%-32%). O'Rourke won African Americans (81%-18%), Latinos (56%-42%); African American men (76%-24%); African American women (85%-13%) Latino men (55%-45%) and Latina women (61%-37%).[212]

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls.[213] There were 4,327 total respondents.

2022 Texas gubernatorial election (CNN)[213]
Demographic subgroup Abbott O'Rourke % of
total vote
Ideology
Liberals 10 89 22
Moderates 38 60 36
Conservatives 91 9 42
Party
Democrats 3 97 30
Republicans 95 5 41
Independents 47 49 29
Age
18–24 years old 31 67 9
25–29 years old 39 61 6
30–39 years old 47 50 15
40–49 years old 53 45 16
50–64 years old 61 38 27
65 and older 62 37 27
Gender
Men 58 41 49
Women 51 48 51
Marital status
Married 63 36 63
Unmarried 45 54 37
Gender by marital status
Married men 64 35 33
Married women 61 38 29
Unmarried men 49 49 17
Unmarried women 42 58 21
Race/ethnicity
White 66 33 62
Black 15 84 12
Latino 40 57 21
Asian 48 52 3
Other 67 31 2
Gender by race
White men 69 30 30
White women 64 36 32
Black men 22 78 6
Black women 9 90 6
Latino men 45 53 10
Latina women 36 62 11
Other racial/ethnic groups 57 42 5
Education
Never attended college 60 40 12
Some college education 53 45 28
Associate degree 57 41 15
Bachelor's degree 54 44 26
Advanced degree 49 50 18
Education by race
White college graduates 60 39 31
White no college degree 72 27 31
Non-white college graduates 34 65 14
Non-white no college degree 35 63 25
Education by gender/race
White women with college degrees 57 42 15
White women without college degrees 70 29 17
White men with college degrees 63 36 16
White men without college degrees 75 24 14
Non-white 35 64 39
Issue regarded as most important
Crime 58 36 11
Inflation 76 22 28
Immigration 88 12 15
Gun policy 32 67 12
Abortion 19 80 27
Abortion should be
Legal 23 75 54
Illegal 92 7 43
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 43 57 14
No 55 44 86
2020 presidential vote
Trump 97 2 50
Biden 4 96 41
Other N/A N/A 3
Did not vote N/A N/A 5
Biden legitimately won in 2020
Yes 25 74 54
No 94 5 42
Area type
Urban 49 50 42
Suburban 56 43 47
Rural 66 32 11

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Harrison with 3%; Belew and Horn with 1%
  3. ^ Harrison with 3%; Belew and Horn with 0%
  4. ^ Horn with 2%; Belew and Harrison with 1%
  5. ^ Someone else with 2%, Horn with 1%
  6. ^ Belew, Harrison, and Horn with 1%
  7. ^ Horn with 2%; Belew and Harrison with 1%
  8. ^ Harrison and Horn with 1%; Belew with 0%
  9. ^ Belew, Harrison, and Horn with 1%
  10. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Tippetts (L) with 2%; Barrios (G) with 1%
  12. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Tippetts (L) with 2%; Barrios (G) with 1%
  13. ^ Tippetts (L) with 1%; Barrios (G) with <1%
  14. ^ Tippetts (L) with 2%; Barrios (G) with 1%
  15. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  17. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Tippetts and Barrios with 1%
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 3%
  19. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  20. ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
  22. ^ Tippetts (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  23. ^ Tippetts with 9%; Barrios with 3%
  24. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
  25. ^ Barrios and Tippetts with 1%
  26. ^ "Someone else" with 6%; Barrios and Tippets with 3%
  27. ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
  28. ^ Tippetts with 2% and Barrios with 2%
  29. ^ Tippetts with 1% and Barrios with 1%
  30. ^ "Someone else" with 7%; Barrios and Tippetts with 3%
  31. ^ "Someone else" with 4%; Tippetts with 3%; Barrios with 2%
  32. ^ a b Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 0%
  33. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 1%
  34. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Barrios and Tippetts with 3%
  35. ^ Tippetts with 2%, Barrios with 1%
  36. ^ a b Subsample of likely general election voters from a survey of 1,400 registered voters (overall margin of error ± 2.2% including design effect)
  37. ^ Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 1%
  38. ^ Behrman/Jewell with 2%, Barrios with 1%
  39. ^ Behrman/Jewell and Barrios with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for West's campaign
  2. ^ Poll conducted for Abbott's campaign
  3. ^ Poll conducted for the Defend Texas Liberty PAC.
  4. ^ Poll conducted for the Democratic Policy Institute, a non-profit organization advocating for progressive causes.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Univision.
  6. ^ Poll conducted for Abbott's campaign
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

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  158. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Beto O'Rourke For Texas Governor". March 3, 2022.
  159. ^ "JOLT ENDORSES STATEWIDE CANDIDATES FOR OFFICE". jolttx.org. August 30, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
  160. ^ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Beto O'Rourke for Texas Governor". August 25, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  161. ^ "Endorsements". organizerexas.org. September 6, 2022. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
  162. ^ "Texas Rising Action Endorsements". txrising.org. Retrieved October 21, 2022.
  163. ^ "Editorial: O'Rourke for governor". San Antonio Express-News. October 21, 2022.
  164. ^ Real Clear Politics
  165. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  166. ^ CWS Research (R)
  167. ^ UT Tyler
  168. ^ Emerson College
  169. ^ Siena College
  170. ^ Beacon Research (D)
  171. ^ BSP Research/UT
  172. ^ YouGov/UT
  173. ^ Civiqs
  174. ^ Marist College
  175. ^ a b Quinnipiac University
  176. ^ Emerson College
  177. ^ ActiVote
  178. ^ Siena College
  179. ^ Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation
  180. ^ UT Tyler
  181. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  182. ^ a b Echelon Insights
  183. ^ YouGov/UT
  184. ^ YouGov/UH/TSU
  185. ^ UT Tyler Archived October 31, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  186. ^ YouGov/UH
  187. ^ YouGov/CBS News
  188. ^ YouGov/UT
  189. ^ YouGov/PerryUndem
  190. ^ Blueprint Polling (D) Archived June 13, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  191. ^ UT Tyler
  192. ^ YouGov/UT
  193. ^ YouGov/TXHPF
  194. ^ Texas Lyceum
  195. ^ Climate Nexus
  196. ^ Quinnipiac University
  197. ^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
  198. ^ Public Opinion Strategies (R)
  199. ^ UT Tyler
  200. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  201. ^ Quinnipiac University
  202. ^ Quinnipiac University
  203. ^ "Texas Election Results".
  204. ^ "2022 Texas gubernatorial election (Official Returns)". Commonwealth of Texas by county. November 8, 2022. Retrieved December 8, 2022.
  205. ^ https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::1c2c1e0d-2fd1-43a8-a039-73e7023124d1
  206. ^ "Regional Reports (2022 Edition)". Comptroller.Texas.Gov. Retrieved April 18, 2023.
  207. ^ "Republican victories show Texas is still far from turning blue". The Texas Tribune. November 9, 2022. Even if Republicans aren't seeing their map expanding into new territory like South Texas, they can still clearly count on rural voters to hold the line against waves of new and potentially liberal voters moving into Texas' major cities, said Landry, the West Texas college professor. As large as the cities are and how Democratic that they are, Texas Democrats still don't have a way to get past that red wall of rural West Texas, he said. Rural Texas still rules the day. I was seeing some very, very close numbers before a lot of the rural counties reported [election returns], and once they did, it just blew the door open for Abbott.
  208. ^ Ura, Alexa; Covington, Caroline; Khatib, Jade (November 11, 2022). "Republicans rebounded in some suburban counties that had been drifting blue". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved May 30, 2024.
  209. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial General Election Results". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections.
  210. ^ "2020 Presidential General Election Results - Texas". Retrieved December 20, 2022.
  211. ^ "Texas Governor Election Results 2022". NBC News.
  212. ^ Fox News Voter Analysis
  213. ^ a b "2022 Texas Exit Polls". CNN Politics. Retrieved September 4, 2024.

Official campaign websites

source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Texas_gubernatorial_election

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